Liga 3 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Fafe
Home
15:30
d ::
Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Trofense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
5%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fafe wins
0
Draws
0
Trofense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
80%
Attack
13%
73%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Match Preview & Analysis
Fafe face Trofense in Liga 3. Fafe have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Trofense have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 32%.
With a 93% probability backing Fafe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fafe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Fafe, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Trofense. Our top recommended betting pick is Fafe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe as part of the Liga 3.
