Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Serie C - Girone B · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Perugia
Home
0-2
Full time
Stadio Renato Curi
Vado
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.42 - 1.34
Win probability
Home
30%
Draw
31%
Away
38%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.76
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Perugia wins
0
Draws
0
Vado wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
33%
Attack
26%
33%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
30%
Win probability
38%
Home and away record
Perugia
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Vado
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Perugia | Vado | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 3/9 33% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Perugia
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
Vado
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Perugia face Vado in Serie C - Girone B. Perugia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Vado have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 42%.
With evenly matched metrics (30% vs 38%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 30% win probability for Perugia, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 38% probability for Vado. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.76 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 42%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Renato Curi as part of the Serie C - Girone B.
