Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
La Nucía
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Lorca Deportiva
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
12%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
La Nucía wins
0
Draws
0
Lorca Deportiva wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
13%
53%
Attack
13%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
La Nucía
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Lorca Deportiva
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| La Nucía | Lorca Deportiva | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 3/5 60% |
At half time
La Nucía
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Lorca Deportiva
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
40%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
La Nucía |
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
Lorca Deportiva |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
La Nucía face Lorca Deportiva in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3. La Nucía have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game). Lorca Deportiva have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 5 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 31%.
With a 86% probability backing La Nucía, home advantage and superior chance creation make La Nucía to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for La Nucía, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Lorca Deportiva. Our top recommended betting pick is La Nucía Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 31%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
