Süper Lig · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Beşiktaş
Home
2-1
Full time
Tüpraş Stadyumu
Kocaelispor
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
22%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Beşiktaş wins
0
Draws
0
Kocaelispor wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
80%
95%
Attack
46%
53%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Beşiktaş
last 7 at home
7W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.71
scored a game
0.43
conceded a game
Kocaelispor
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Beşiktaş | Kocaelispor | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 1/6 17% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Beşiktaş
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Kocaelispor
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Beşiktaş |
11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 22 |
| 7 |
Kocaelispor |
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Beşiktaş face Kocaelispor in Süper Lig. Beşiktaş have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game). Kocaelispor have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 67% probability backing Beşiktaş, home advantage and superior chance creation make Beşiktaş to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Beşiktaş, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Kocaelispor. Our top recommended betting pick is Beşiktaş Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Tüpraş Stadyumu as part of the Süper Lig.
