1. Lig · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Bursaspor
Home
1-2
Full time
Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu
Mardin 1969
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
28%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bursaspor wins
0
Draws
0
Mardin 1969 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
33%
80%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Bursaspor
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Mardin 1969
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Bursaspor | Mardin 1969 | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Bursaspor
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
22%
Behind
33%
Mardin 1969
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
63%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Bursaspor |
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 |
Mardin 1969 |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bursaspor face Mardin 1969 in 1. Lig. Bursaspor have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Mardin 1969 have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing Bursaspor, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bursaspor to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Bursaspor, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Mardin 1969. Our top recommended betting pick is Bursaspor Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu as part of the 1. Lig.
