1. Lig · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Bursaspor
Home
16:00
d ::
Timsah Park
Mardin 1969
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
28%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bursaspor wins
0
Draws
0
Mardin 1969 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
19%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bur Bursaspor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 7 | Mar Mardin 1969 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bursaspor face Mardin 1969 in 1. Lig. Bursaspor have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Mardin 1969 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing Bursaspor, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bursaspor to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Bursaspor, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Mardin 1969. Our top recommended betting pick is Bursaspor Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Timsah Park as part of the 1. Lig.
