Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Sarriana
Home
3-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Arenteiro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
11%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sarriana wins
0
Draws
0
Arenteiro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
25%
50%
Attack
33%
58%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Sarriana
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Arenteiro
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Sarriana | Arenteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Sarriana
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
0%
Behind
25%
Arenteiro
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sarriana face Arenteiro in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1. Sarriana have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.5 points per game). Arenteiro have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 83% probability backing Sarriana, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sarriana to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for Sarriana, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Arenteiro. Our top recommended betting pick is Sarriana Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
