Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Beasain
Home
4-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Lagun Onak
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
36%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.7
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Beasain wins
1
Draws
0
Lagun Onak wins
29 Aug 2026
Lagun Onak
2 - 2
Beasain
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
26%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
45%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Beasain
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Lagun Onak
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Beasain | Lagun Onak | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Beasain
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
Lagun Onak
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Beasain face Lagun Onak in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. Beasain have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Lagun Onak have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Beasain won 0, Lagun Onak won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 45% probability backing Beasain, home advantage and superior chance creation make Beasain to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Beasain, a 36% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Lagun Onak. Our top recommended betting pick is Beasain Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.7 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
