Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Leioa
Home
4-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Aurrerá Vitoria
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.87 - 2.3
Win probability
Home
7%
Draw
9%
Away
82%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leioa wins
0
Draws
0
Aurrerá Vitoria wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
83%
66%
Attack
58%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
7%
Win probability
82%
Home and away record
Leioa
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
6.00
conceded a game
Aurrerá Vitoria
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Leioa | Aurrerá Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 4/4 100% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Leioa
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
Aurrerá Vitoria
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Leioa face Aurrerá Vitoria in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. Leioa have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Aurrerá Vitoria have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (2.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 62%.
Aurrerá Vitoria's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 82% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Aurrerá Vitoria to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 7% win probability for Leioa, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 82% probability for Aurrerá Vitoria. Our top recommended betting pick is Aurrerá Vitoria Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 62% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
