Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Badalona
Home
16:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Vilanova
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
16%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Badalona wins
0
Draws
0
Vilanova wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
41%
50%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bad Badalona | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 | Vil Vilanova | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Badalona face Vilanova in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5. Badalona have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.5 points per game). Vilanova have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 70% probability backing Badalona, home advantage and superior chance creation make Badalona to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Badalona, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Vilanova. Our top recommended betting pick is Badalona Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
