Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Castuera
Home
5-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Atlético Pueblonuevo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Castuera wins
0
Draws
0
Atlético Pueblonuevo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
25%
77%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
41%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Castuera
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
5.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Atlético Pueblonuevo
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Castuera | Atlético Pueblonuevo | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Castuera
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Atlético Pueblonuevo
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Castuera |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 |
| 17 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo |
9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -14 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Castuera face Atlético Pueblonuevo in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14. Castuera have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Atlético Pueblonuevo have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Castuera, home advantage and superior chance creation make Castuera to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Castuera, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Atlético Pueblonuevo. Our top recommended betting pick is Castuera Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
