Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Guadiana
Home
1-4
Full time
Venue TBC
Jerez
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.18 - 1.62
Win probability
Home
20%
Draw
29%
Away
51%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.8
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guadiana wins
0
Draws
0
Jerez wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
44%
8%
Attack
44%
8%
Defence
55%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
20%
Win probability
51%
Home and away record
Guadiana
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Jerez
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Guadiana | Jerez | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 75% 3/4 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Guadiana
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Jerez
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Guadiana face Jerez in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14. Guadiana have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 11 (0 points per game). Jerez have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
Jerez's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 51% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Jerez to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 20% win probability for Guadiana, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 51% probability for Jerez. Our top recommended betting pick is Jerez Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.8 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
