Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Puebla Calzada
Home
10:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Moralo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Puebla Calzada wins
0
Draws
0
Moralo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
83%
58%
Attack
66%
83%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
31%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mor Moralo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Pue Puebla Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Puebla Calzada face Moralo in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14. Puebla Calzada have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2 points per game). Moralo have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Puebla Calzada, home advantage and superior chance creation make Puebla Calzada to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Puebla Calzada, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Moralo. Our top recommended betting pick is Puebla Calzada Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
