Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Estepona
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Atlético Central
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
19%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Estepona wins
0
Draws
0
Atlético Central wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
25%
50%
Attack
33%
58%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Estepona
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Atlético Central
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Estepona | Atlético Central | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Estepona
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Atlético Central
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Estepona |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |
Atlético Central |
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Estepona face Atlético Central in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4. Estepona have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.75 points per game). Atlético Central have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 57% probability backing Estepona, home advantage and superior chance creation make Estepona to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Estepona, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Atlético Central. Our top recommended betting pick is Estepona Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
