Primeira Liga · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Benfica
Home
2-0
Full time
Estádio da Luz
Guimaraes
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
8%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Benfica wins
0
Draws
0
Guimaraes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
33%
86%
Attack
20%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
88%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ben Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 15 | Gui Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Benfica face Guimaraes in Primeira Liga. Benfica have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). Guimaraes have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing Benfica, home advantage and superior chance creation make Benfica to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for Benfica, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Guimaraes. Our top recommended betting pick is Benfica Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio da Luz as part of the Primeira Liga.
