Segunda Liga · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
União de Leiria
Home
0-2
Full time
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Academica
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
12%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
União de Leiria wins
0
Draws
0
Academica wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
40%
73%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
80%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
União de Leiria
last 5 at home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.20
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Academica
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
2.13
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| União de Leiria | Academica | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
União de Leiria
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
Academica
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
11%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
União de Leiria face Academica in Segunda Liga. União de Leiria have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2.6 points per game). Academica have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 80% probability backing União de Leiria, home advantage and superior chance creation make União de Leiria to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for União de Leiria, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Academica. Our top recommended betting pick is União de Leiria Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa as part of the Segunda Liga.
