Jupiler Pro League · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
KV Mechelen
Home
4-3
Full time
Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne
St. Truiden
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.3 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
25%
Draw
27%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
KV Mechelen wins
0
Draws
0
St. Truiden wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
40%
26%
Attack
53%
33%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
25%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
KV Mechelen
last 7 at home
1W
2D
4L
0.71
points a game
1.43
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
St. Truiden
last 8 away from home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| KV Mechelen | St. Truiden | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 70% 7/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
KV Mechelen
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
30%
Behind
70%
St. Truiden
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
KV Mechelen face St. Truiden in Jupiler Pro League. KV Mechelen have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 10 (0.4 points per game). St. Truiden have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
St. Truiden's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for St. Truiden to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 25% win probability for KV Mechelen, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for St. Truiden. Our top recommended betting pick is St. Truiden Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 17:15 (East Africa Time) at Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne as part of the Jupiler Pro League.
