Primera Nacional · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
CA Estudiantes
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
Deportivo Moron
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 1.38
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
26%
Away
40%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
CA Estudiantes wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Moron wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
80%
26%
Attack
60%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
34%
Win probability
40%
Home and away record
CA Estudiantes
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.43
scored a game
0.86
conceded a game
Deportivo Moron
last 7 away from home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
CA Estudiantes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
Deportivo Moron
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Deportivo Moron |
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +14 | 58 |
| 8 |
CA Estudiantes |
35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | +1 | 49 |
Match Preview & Analysis
CA Estudiantes face Deportivo Moron in Primera Nacional. CA Estudiantes have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Deportivo Moron have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (34% vs 40%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for CA Estudiantes, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 40% probability for Deportivo Moron. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros as part of the Primera Nacional.
