Primera Nacional · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Defensores De Belgrano
Home
0-3
Full time
Estadio Juan Pasquale
Acassuso
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.59 - 1.27
Win probability
Home
37%
Draw
27%
Away
35%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Defensores De Belgrano wins
0
Draws
0
Acassuso wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
26%
60%
Attack
13%
73%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
37%
Win probability
35%
Home and away record
Defensores De Belgrano
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Acassuso
last 6 away from home
0W
3D
3L
0.50
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Defensores De Belgrano | Acassuso | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Defensores De Belgrano
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Acassuso
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Defensores De Belgrano |
35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | -7 | 39 |
| 17 |
Acassuso |
35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | -10 | 34 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Defensores De Belgrano face Acassuso in Primera Nacional. Defensores De Belgrano have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game). Acassuso have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (37% vs 35%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 37% win probability for Defensores De Belgrano, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 35% probability for Acassuso. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Pasquale as part of the Primera Nacional.
