Segunda División · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Cadiz
Home
19:00
d ::
JP Financial Estadio
Sporting Gijon
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
29%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
41%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cadiz wins
0
Draws
0
Sporting Gijon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
60%
60%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
26%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spo Sporting Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 18 | Cad Cadiz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Cadiz face Sporting Gijon in Segunda División. Cadiz have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Sporting Gijon have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 41% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Cadiz, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cadiz to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Cadiz, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Sporting Gijon. Our top recommended betting pick is Cadiz Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at JP Financial Estadio as part of the Segunda División.
