Liga Profesional Argentina · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Aldosivi
Home
1-3
Full time
Estadio Jose Maria Minella
Sarmiento Junin
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
30%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aldosivi wins
0
Draws
0
Sarmiento Junin wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Aldosivi
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Sarmiento Junin
last 5 away from home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
1.60
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aldosivi | Sarmiento Junin | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Aldosivi
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Sarmiento Junin
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 |
Sarmiento Junin |
32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | -8 | 40 |
| 29 |
Aldosivi |
32 | 3 | 10 | 19 | -23 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Aldosivi face Sarmiento Junin in Liga Profesional Argentina. Aldosivi have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Sarmiento Junin have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Aldosivi, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aldosivi to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Aldosivi, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Sarmiento Junin. Our top recommended betting pick is Aldosivi Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Maria Minella as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
