Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Rosario Central
Home
5-0
Full time
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Independ. Rivadavia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
24%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Rosario Central wins
0
Draws
0
Independ. Rivadavia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Rosario Central
last 6 at home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.83
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Independ. Rivadavia
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
0.63
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Rosario Central | Independ. Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Rosario Central
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Independ. Rivadavia
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Rosario Central |
32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | +18 | 62 |
| 4 |
Independ. Rivadavia |
32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 57 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Rosario Central face Independ. Rivadavia in Liga Profesional Argentina. Rosario Central have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Independ. Rivadavia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 67% probability backing Rosario Central, home advantage and superior chance creation make Rosario Central to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Rosario Central, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Independ. Rivadavia. Our top recommended betting pick is Rosario Central Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
