Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
San Lorenzo
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Deportivo Riestra
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.19
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.49 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
33%
Draw
37%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
43%
2.19
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.65
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the San Lorenzo v Deportivo Riestra pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Lorenzo wins
1
Draws
0
Deportivo Riestra wins
18 Jul 2026
San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Deportivo Riestra
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
13%
Attack
20%
53%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
33%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
San Lorenzo
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Deportivo Riestra
last 6 away from home
0W
4D
2L
0.67
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| San Lorenzo | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 4/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
San Lorenzo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Deportivo Riestra
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 |
San Lorenzo |
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 41 |
| 28 |
Deportivo Riestra |
32 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Lorenzo face Deportivo Riestra in Liga Profesional Argentina. San Lorenzo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Deportivo Riestra have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, San Lorenzo won 0, Deportivo Riestra won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With evenly matched metrics (33% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 33% win probability for San Lorenzo, a 37% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Deportivo Riestra. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.65 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 17:45 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Pedro Bidegain as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
