Primera Nacional · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Central Norte
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Ferro Carril Oeste
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Central Norte wins
0
Draws
0
Ferro Carril Oeste wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
40%
20%
Attack
20%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Central Norte
last 8 at home
2W
5D
1L
1.38
points a game
0.63
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Ferro Carril Oeste
last 5 away from home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Central Norte | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 4/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Central Norte
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Ferro Carril Oeste
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ferro Carril Oeste |
35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 65 |
| 14 |
Central Norte |
35 | 7 | 17 | 11 | -8 | 38 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Central Norte face Ferro Carril Oeste in Primera Nacional. Central Norte have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (0.8 points per game). Ferro Carril Oeste have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Central Norte, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Ferro Carril Oeste. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena as part of the Primera Nacional.
