Primera Nacional · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Deportivo Maipu
Home
1-1
Full time
Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti
San Martin S.J.
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
24%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Maipu wins
0
Draws
0
San Martin S.J. wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
40%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Deportivo Maipu
last 7 at home
3W
4D
0L
1.86
points a game
1.14
scored a game
0.43
conceded a game
San Martin S.J.
last 6 away from home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
0.83
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportivo Maipu | San Martin S.J. | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Deportivo Maipu
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
San Martin S.J.
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
70%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Deportivo Maipu |
35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | +9 | 51 |
| 9 |
San Martin S.J. |
35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | +2 | 48 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Maipu face San Martin S.J. in Primera Nacional. Deportivo Maipu have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game). San Martin S.J. have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 55% probability backing Deportivo Maipu, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Maipu to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Deportivo Maipu, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for San Martin S.J.. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Maipu Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti as part of the Primera Nacional.
