Liga de Ascenso · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
AD Carmelita
Home
0-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Guadalupe FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.2
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
AD Carmelita wins
0
Draws
0
Guadalupe FC wins
25 Aug 2026
Guadalupe FC
0 - 1
AD Carmelita
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
80%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
26%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
74%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
AD Carmelita
last 5 at home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
2.20
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Guadalupe FC
last 5 away from home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
2.20
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| AD Carmelita | Guadalupe FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 0% 0/9 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
AD Carmelita
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
Guadalupe FC
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
33%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
AD Carmelita face Guadalupe FC in Liga de Ascenso. AD Carmelita have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Guadalupe FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, AD Carmelita won 1, Guadalupe FC won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 74% probability backing AD Carmelita, home advantage and superior chance creation make AD Carmelita to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for AD Carmelita, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Guadalupe FC. Our top recommended betting pick is AD Carmelita Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.2 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Ascenso.
