Liga Pro · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Libertad
Home
3-0
Full time
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Leones del Norte
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.38
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
28%
Away
40%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Libertad wins
0
Draws
1
Leones del Norte wins
04 Jul 2026
Libertad
1 - 3
Leones del Norte
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
26%
5%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
32%
Win probability
40%
Home and away record
Libertad
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
1.38
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Leones del Norte
last 8 away from home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Libertad | Leones del Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Libertad
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Leones del Norte
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Libertad face Leones del Norte in Liga Pro. Libertad have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 15 (1.2 points per game). Leones del Norte have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Libertad won 0, Leones del Norte won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (32% vs 40%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Libertad, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 40% probability for Leones del Norte. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne as part of the Liga Pro.
