Serie A · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Flamengo
Home
20:30
d ::
Estádio do Maracanã
Fluminense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
19%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Flamengo wins
0
Draws
0
Fluminense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
53%
80%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
12%
Team news
Flamengo
- Evertton Araujo · Thigh Injury
- G. de Arrascaeta · Wrist Injury
- Ayrton Lucas · Thigh Injury
- Lucas Paqueta · Yellow Cards
- E. Pulgar · Yellow Cards
- Samuel Lino · Yellow Cards
- G. Plata · Inactive
- Alex Sandro · Calf Injury
Fluminense
- G. Cano · Hamstring Injury
- Nonato · Yellow Cards
- A. Canobbio · Yellow Cards
- Matheus Reis · Knee Injury
- Alisson · Hip Injury
- Ignacio · Hamstring Injury
- John Kennedy · Knee Injury
- Guga · Inactive
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fla Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | +32 | 60 |
| 4 | Flu Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Flamengo face Fluminense in Serie A. Flamengo have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Fluminense have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 69% probability backing Flamengo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Flamengo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Flamengo, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Fluminense. Our top recommended betting pick is Flamengo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã as part of the Serie A.
