Serie A · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Palmeiras
Home
4-1
Full time
Nubank Parque
Corinthians
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
18%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
3.15
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Palmeiras wins
0
Draws
0
Corinthians wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
6%
40%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
72%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Palmeiras
last 8 at home
6W
2D
0L
2.50
points a game
1.88
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Corinthians
last 8 away from home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Palmeiras | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Palmeiras
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Corinthians
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
40%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Palmeiras |
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | +39 | 73 |
| 17 |
Corinthians |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Palmeiras face Corinthians in Serie A. Palmeiras have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Corinthians have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 72% probability backing Palmeiras, home advantage and superior chance creation make Palmeiras to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for Palmeiras, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Corinthians. Our top recommended betting pick is Palmeiras Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.15 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at Nubank Parque as part of the Serie A.
