Serie A · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Palmeiras
Home
20:30
d ::
Nubank Parque
Corinthians
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
18%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
3.15
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Palmeiras wins
0
Draws
0
Corinthians wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
6%
20%
Attack
26%
95%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
72%
Win probability
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pal Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 14 | Cor Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Palmeiras face Corinthians in Serie A. Palmeiras have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 0 (1.8 points per game). Corinthians have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 72% probability backing Palmeiras, home advantage and superior chance creation make Palmeiras to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for Palmeiras, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Corinthians. Our top recommended betting pick is Palmeiras Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.15 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at Nubank Parque as part of the Serie A.
