Serie B · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Nautico Recife
Home
0-2
Full time
Estadio dos Aflitos
Vila Nova
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
25%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nautico Recife wins
0
Draws
0
Vila Nova wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
73%
33%
Attack
33%
26%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Nautico Recife
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Vila Nova
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Nautico Recife | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Nautico Recife
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Vila Nova
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Vila Nova |
37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 66 |
| 15 |
Nautico Recife |
37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 46 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Nautico Recife face Vila Nova in Serie B. Nautico Recife have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.4 points per game). Vila Nova have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 1 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Nautico Recife, home advantage and superior chance creation make Nautico Recife to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Nautico Recife, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Vila Nova. Our top recommended betting pick is Nautico Recife Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio dos Aflitos as part of the Serie B.
