Serie B · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Nautico Recife
Home
20:30
d ::
Venue TBC
Vila Nova
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
25%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nautico Recife wins
0
Draws
0
Vila Nova wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
73%
40%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
24%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vil Vila Nova | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | +13 | 57 |
| 13 | Nau Nautico Recife | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | +1 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Nautico Recife face Vila Nova in Serie B. Nautico Recife have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Vila Nova have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 1 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Nautico Recife, home advantage and superior chance creation make Nautico Recife to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Nautico Recife, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Vila Nova. Our top recommended betting pick is Nautico Recife Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie B.
