Liga Nacional · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Estrella Roja
Home
0-1
Full time
Estadio Marcelo Tinoco
Real Espana
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 2.13
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
16%
Away
74%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Estrella Roja wins
0
Draws
0
Real Espana wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
73%
60%
Attack
46%
13%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
10%
Win probability
74%
Home and away record
Estrella Roja
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Real Espana
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Estrella Roja | Real Espana | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/8 0% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Estrella Roja
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
38%
Behind
50%
Real Espana
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Real Espana |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 27 |
| 6 |
Estrella Roja |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Estrella Roja face Real Espana in Liga Nacional. Estrella Roja have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 13 (1 points per game). Real Espana have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Real Espana's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 74% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Real Espana to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Estrella Roja, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 74% probability for Real Espana. Our top recommended betting pick is Real Espana Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Tinoco as part of the Liga Nacional.
