Primera A · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Jaguares
Home
3-2
Full time
Estadio Jaragüay De Monteria
Deportes Tolima
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
26%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Jaguares wins
0
Draws
0
Deportes Tolima wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
6%
26%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Deportes Tolima |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 18 |
Jaguares |
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Jaguares face Deportes Tolima in Primera A. Jaguares have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). Deportes Tolima have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Deportes Tolima's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Deportes Tolima to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Jaguares, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Deportes Tolima. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportes Tolima Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 21:05 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Jaragüay De Monteria as part of the Primera A.
