Primera División · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Monagas SC
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
27%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Monagas SC wins
0
Draws
0
Estudiantes de Merida FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Monagas SC
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.29
scored a game
0.57
conceded a game
Estudiantes de Merida FC
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Monagas SC | Estudiantes de Merida FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Monagas SC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Estudiantes de Merida FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Monagas SC face Estudiantes de Merida FC in Primera División. Monagas SC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Estudiantes de Merida FC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 58% probability backing Monagas SC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Monagas SC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Monagas SC, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Estudiantes de Merida FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Monagas SC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera División.
