Primera División · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Monagas SC
Home
22:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
27%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Monagas SC wins
0
Draws
0
Estudiantes de Merida FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
40%
66%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Monagas SC face Estudiantes de Merida FC in Primera División. Monagas SC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Estudiantes de Merida FC have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 58% probability backing Monagas SC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Monagas SC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Monagas SC, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Estudiantes de Merida FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Monagas SC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera División.
