Serie A · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Bahia
Home
22:30
d ::
Arena Fonte Nova
Mirassol
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bahia wins
0
Draws
0
Mirassol wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
53%
60%
Attack
46%
53%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Team news
Bahia
- Michel Araujo · Hamstring Injury
- Leo Vieira · Knee Injury
- C. Olivera · Yellow Cards
- M. Sanabria · Inactive
- Erick · Yellow Cards
- Everaldo · Red Card
- Everton Ribeiro · Inactive
- Jean Lucas · Yellow Cards
Mirassol
- Jose Aldo · Muscle Injury
- Negueba · Knee Injury
- Alesson · Yellow Cards
- Walter · Injury
- Denilson · Yellow Cards
- Joao Victor · Yellow Cards
- Edson Carioca · Injury
- Neto Moura · Yellow Cards
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bah Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | +8 | 46 |
| 15 | Mir Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bahia face Mirassol in Serie A. Bahia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game). Mirassol have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Bahia, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Mirassol. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Nova as part of the Serie A.
