Primera Nacional · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Ciudad de Bolívar
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Municipal Eva Peron
San Telmo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
29%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ciudad de Bolívar wins
0
Draws
0
San Telmo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
20%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Ciudad de Bolívar
last 6 at home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.83
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
San Telmo
last 7 away from home
2W
0D
5L
0.86
points a game
0.71
scored a game
1.71
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ciudad de Bolívar | San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Ciudad de Bolívar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
San Telmo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Ciudad de Bolívar |
35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | -1 | 51 |
| 16 |
San Telmo |
35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 38 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ciudad de Bolívar face San Telmo in Primera Nacional. Ciudad de Bolívar have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). San Telmo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Ciudad de Bolívar, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ciudad de Bolívar to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Ciudad de Bolívar, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for San Telmo. Our top recommended betting pick is Ciudad de Bolívar Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron as part of the Primera Nacional.
