Primera Division · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Municipal Limeño
Home
2-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Firpo
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
27%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Municipal Limeño wins
0
Draws
1
Firpo wins
09 Aug 2026
Firpo
2 - 0
Municipal Limeño
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
40%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Municipal Limeño
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Firpo
last 7 away from home
1W
3D
3L
0.86
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Municipal Limeño | Firpo | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Municipal Limeño
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Firpo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Firpo |
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | +20 | 40 |
| 8 |
Municipal Limeño |
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -1 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Municipal Limeño face Firpo in Primera Division. Municipal Limeño have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Firpo have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Municipal Limeño won 0, Firpo won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 32%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Municipal Limeño, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Firpo. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera Division.
