FA Cup · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Spalding United
Home
4-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Bury Town
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.59 - 1.29
Win probability
Home
37%
Draw
27%
Away
36%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Spalding United wins
1
Draws
0
Bury Town wins
03 Oct 2026
Bury Town
1 - 1
Spalding United
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
66%
66%
Attack
53%
80%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
37%
Win probability
36%
Home and away record
Spalding United
last 7 at home
4W
2D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.57
scored a game
0.71
conceded a game
Bury Town
last 8 away from home
7W
0D
1L
2.63
points a game
2.63
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Spalding United | Bury Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Spalding United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Bury Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Spalding United face Bury Town in FA Cup. Spalding United have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Bury Town have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Spalding United won 0, Bury Town won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (37% vs 36%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 37% win probability for Spalding United, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 36% probability for Bury Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FA Cup.
