MLS Next Pro · Monday, 12 Oct 2026
The Town
Home
4-4
Full time
PayPal Park
Tacoma Defiance
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
12%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.27
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
The Town wins
0
Draws
2
Tacoma Defiance wins
06 Sep 2026
The Town
1 - 2
Tacoma Defiance
13 Jul 2026
The Town
0 - 1
Tacoma Defiance
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
46%
53%
Defence
46%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
74%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
The Town
last 8 at home
2W
1D
5L
0.88
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Tacoma Defiance
last 8 away from home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
1.63
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| The Town | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
The Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Tacoma Defiance
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
The Town face Tacoma Defiance in MLS Next Pro. The Town have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Tacoma Defiance have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, The Town won 0, Tacoma Defiance won 2 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 74% probability backing The Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make The Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for The Town, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Tacoma Defiance. Our top recommended betting pick is The Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.27 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 12 Oct 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at PayPal Park as part of the MLS Next Pro.
