AFC Champions League Elite · Monday, 12 Oct 2026
Pakhtakor
Home
1-1
Full time
Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
31%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.77
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pakhtakor wins
0
Draws
0
Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
86%
80%
Attack
95%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
34%
Win probability
34%
Home and away record
Pakhtakor
last 7 at home
4W
3D
0L
2.14
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.71
conceded a game
Al-Qadisiyah FC
last 6 away from home
5W
0D
1L
2.50
points a game
2.83
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Pakhtakor | Al-Qadisiyah FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Pakhtakor
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Al-Qadisiyah FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Pakhtakor |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pakhtakor face Al-Qadisiyah FC in AFC Champions League Elite. Pakhtakor have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (2.6 points per game). Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 6 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (34% vs 34%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for Pakhtakor, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for Al-Qadisiyah FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.77 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 12 Oct 2026 at 13:45 (East Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium as part of the AFC Champions League Elite.
