Virsliga · Monday, 12 Oct 2026
FK Liepaja
Home
2-3
Full time
Daugavas stadions
Auda
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
22%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FK Liepaja wins
0
Draws
2
Auda wins
25 Aug 2026
Auda
1 - 0
FK Liepaja
11 Jul 2026
Auda
1 - 0
FK Liepaja
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
73%
33%
Attack
53%
66%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
58%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
FK Liepaja
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Auda
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FK Liepaja | Auda | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
FK Liepaja
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Auda
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
FK Liepaja face Auda in Virsliga. FK Liepaja have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Auda have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, FK Liepaja won 0, Auda won 2 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing FK Liepaja, home advantage and superior chance creation make FK Liepaja to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for FK Liepaja, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Auda. Our top recommended betting pick is FK Liepaja Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 12 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions as part of the Virsliga.
