Serie A · Monday, 12 Oct 2026
Coritiba
Home
1-1
Full time
Estádio Couto Pereira
Botafogo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
32%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Coritiba wins
0
Draws
0
Botafogo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
33%
5%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
24%
Team news
Coritiba
- Lucas Ronier · Knee Injury
- Lucas Taverna · Inactive
- Thiago Santos · Yellow Cards
- Richard · Inactive
- Bruno Melo · Yellow Cards
- Tiago Coser · Inactive
- Pedro Morisco · Inactive
- Keno · Loan agreement
Botafogo
- Kaio Pantaleao · Knee Injury
- Danilo Santos · Injury
- J. Barrera · Ankle Injury
- Arthur Chaves · Inactive
- A. Montoro · Yellow Cards
- L. Monzon · Inactive
- Matheus Martins · Lacking Match Fitness
- K. Barria · Inactive
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Coritiba
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Botafogo
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
0.40
scored a game
2.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Coritiba | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Coritiba
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Botafogo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
20%
Behind
70%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Botafogo |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Coritiba |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Coritiba face Botafogo in Serie A. Coritiba have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 16 (0.8 points per game). Botafogo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 44% probability backing Coritiba, home advantage and superior chance creation make Coritiba to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Coritiba, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Botafogo. Our top recommended betting pick is Coritiba Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 12 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Couto Pereira as part of the Serie A.
