Primeira Liga · Monday, 12 Oct 2026
Famalicao
Home
1-4
Full time
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Alverca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
21%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Famalicao wins
0
Draws
0
Alverca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Famalicao
last 8 at home
2W
4D
2L
1.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Alverca
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Famalicao | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Famalicao
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Alverca
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Famalicao face Alverca in Primeira Liga. Famalicao have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game). Alverca have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 42%.
With a 69% probability backing Famalicao, home advantage and superior chance creation make Famalicao to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Famalicao, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Alverca. Our top recommended betting pick is Famalicao Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 42%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 12 Oct 2026 at 19:15 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho as part of the Primeira Liga.
