Primeira Liga · Monday, 12 Oct 2026
Famalicao
Home
19:15
d ::
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Alverca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
21%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Famalicao wins
0
Draws
0
Alverca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Alv Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Fam Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Famalicao face Alverca in Primeira Liga. Famalicao have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Alverca have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 42%.
With a 69% probability backing Famalicao, home advantage and superior chance creation make Famalicao to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Famalicao, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Alverca. Our top recommended betting pick is Famalicao Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 42%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 12 Oct 2026 at 19:15 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao as part of the Primeira Liga.
