Serie B · Monday, 12 Oct 2026
Novorizontino
Home
5-1
Full time
Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase
Ponte Preta
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
11%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Novorizontino wins
0
Draws
0
Ponte Preta wins
23 Jun 2026
Ponte Preta
0 - 2
Novorizontino
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
20%
66%
Attack
6%
73%
Defence
20%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Novorizontino
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.88
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Ponte Preta
last 8 away from home
0W
0D
8L
0.00
points a game
0.25
scored a game
3.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Novorizontino | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 0/10 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 9/10 90% |
At half time
Novorizontino
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
30%
Behind
0%
Ponte Preta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
20%
Behind
70%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Novorizontino |
37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | +34 | 70 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta |
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Novorizontino face Ponte Preta in Serie B. Novorizontino have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Ponte Preta have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Novorizontino won 1, Ponte Preta won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 86% probability backing Novorizontino, home advantage and superior chance creation make Novorizontino to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Novorizontino, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Ponte Preta. Our top recommended betting pick is Novorizontino Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 12 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase as part of the Serie B.
