AFC Champions League Elite · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Buriram United
Home
0-1
Full time
Chang Arena
Beijing Guoan
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
23%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Buriram United wins
0
Draws
0
Beijing Guoan wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
73%
40%
Attack
66%
73%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Buriram United
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Beijing Guoan
last 7 away from home
4W
3D
0L
2.14
points a game
2.14
scored a game
0.86
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Buriram United | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Buriram United
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Beijing Guoan
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
80%
Level
20%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Beijing Guoan |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 12 |
Buriram United |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Buriram United face Beijing Guoan in AFC Champions League Elite. Buriram United have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Beijing Guoan have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 57% probability backing Buriram United, home advantage and superior chance creation make Buriram United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Buriram United, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Beijing Guoan. Our top recommended betting pick is Buriram United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 12:15 (East Africa Time) at Chang Arena as part of the AFC Champions League Elite.
