3. Liga · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
FC Saarbrücken
Home
2-4
Full time
Ludwigspark-Stadion
MSV Duisburg
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.71
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
17%
Away
55%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Saarbrücken wins
0
Draws
0
MSV Duisburg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
80%
46%
Attack
80%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
55%
Home and away record
FC Saarbrücken
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
MSV Duisburg
last 8 away from home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FC Saarbrücken | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
FC Saarbrücken
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
MSV Duisburg
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
MSV Duisburg |
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |
FC Saarbrücken |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Saarbrücken face MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga. FC Saarbrücken have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). MSV Duisburg have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
MSV Duisburg's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 55% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for MSV Duisburg to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for FC Saarbrücken, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 55% probability for MSV Duisburg. Our top recommended betting pick is MSV Duisburg Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Ludwigspark-Stadion as part of the 3. Liga.
