EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Oldham
Home
4-2
Full time
Boundary Park
Leeds United U21
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.4 - 1.67
Win probability
Home
29%
Draw
18%
Away
53%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
77%
1.22
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
77%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Oldham wins
0
Draws
0
Leeds United U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
66%
13%
Attack
86%
60%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
29%
Win probability
53%
Home and away record
Oldham
last 8 at home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Leeds United U21
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Oldham | Leeds United U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Oldham
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Leeds United U21
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Oldham face Leeds United U21 in EFL Trophy. Oldham have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game). Leeds United U21 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 9 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
Leeds United U21's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 53% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Leeds United U21 to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 29% win probability for Oldham, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 53% probability for Leeds United U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Leeds United U21 Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Boundary Park as part of the EFL Trophy.
